Two Strategies To Implement In Good Markets
Many investors are starting to get their investment statements for the first quarter of 2012. Have you opened your own statement yet? If not, go ahead, it’s probably good news. Wow, what an incredible start to the year the stock market had! The S&P 500 gained 12.6 percent (total return) during the first quarter of 2012. The last time the stock index gained at least 10 percent in the first quarter was 1998. (source: BTN Research). Two strategies the average investor can learn from the past to make smart financial decisions about the future are to rebalance and avoid chasing performance.
The problem for many investors is that when everything appears to be going well, it is easy to become complacent or worse yet, to chase performance. Remember, the past is history, it’s done and over with. Instead, apply what has been learned from the past to making better investment decisions in the future. Investments that went up recently already went up, and that doesn’t mean those investments will keep going up in the future. Remember how good technology stocks were in the late ’90s before the 2000 crash? Or how easy it appeared to be to make money in real estate in 2007, before the 2008 crash? Mark Twain once said, “History may not repeat itself, but it does rhyme a lot.”
If history continues to repeat itself, the stock market could do great the rest of this year. According to www.seasonalcharts.com, from 1900 through 2004 an election year has historically been a good year in the stock market. Further supporting a strong stock market in election years according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, the S&P 500 has risen in the final seven months in 13 of the past 15 presidential elections years since 1950. Plus, overall, the stock market is still at a discount compared to its all-time high. As of March 30, the S&P 500 is currently 11 percent under its all-time closing high of 1,565 on Oct. 9, 2007 (source BTN Research). We hope history repeats itself this year and the stock market keeps going up. We recommend two strategies to follow even when the market is good.
First, investors should remember to rebalance their accounts in all markets. Rebalancing is the process of selling investments that have outperformed and buying investments that have underperformed to reset the allocation of the overall portfolio back to the original plan. This is an important but hard to follow strategy of buying low and selling high. Stick with this disciplined investment approach, even when emotions say otherwise. The emotional battle the average equity investor may be having right now is: Why change when everything seems to be making money? One easy way to remove emotions and accomplish rebalancing in a portfolio is to set it up on an automatic change cycle, such as monthly, quarterly or yearly. This could help the average investor keep the plan on autopilot. Another option is to rebalance when the desired asset allocation changes beyond a set point. For example an investor who starts with 50 percent stocks and 50 percent bonds, may need to rebalance if stocks get more than 60 percent and bonds are now only 40 percent. This approach involves keeping a closer eye on the asset allocation of the plan to help determine when it’s time to rebalance.
Second, avoid chasing performance results. We have heard over the years people say “Things look better now so I’m ready to buy,” or, “Look how good that investment has done recently, shouldn’t I buy that?” That is a good question, but we suggest that you step back for a minute before buying any investment. Is that the right strategy? Ask yourself, have the individual investment goals changed? A conservative investor, who changes investments and gets much more aggressive after seeing results already go up, can dramatically increase risk. Instead of making major changes, consider making gradual changes. Although last year’s top performing investments could be winners again this year and next, remember that at other times the best performing investments of last year turn out to be the worst performing investments the following year. Prime examples are the technology stocks before and after 2000 and the financial and real estate stocks before and after 2008. Instead, try and focus more on long-term investing based upon your own individual goals and objectives, and less on other short-term results. Chasing results can be like being the last one to show up to a party, realizing too late the party is going to end.
In today’s fast-paced society, it can be easy to avoid looking at what seems like a long time away. But since time goes by so quickly, taking a little bit of time now can save the average family years of headaches in the long run. Today we are going to share with you four easy and quick ways to get more out of your investment accounts.
A former client once argued with me about his “retirement number.” He couldn’t believe that he needed $1 million in savings before he could retire. “That amount just seems like way more money than is necessary!” But after walking through the variables and calculations, he finally said, “Geez, a million bucks. … I guess that’s my number.”
The decision to retire can be sparked by a number of factors: reaching a specific age, hitting a savings goal, or being laid off in a tumultuous job market. To support yourself without income from a job, you’ll have to make a series of choices about Social Security, health coverage, and your investments.
If you’re approaching retirement, or already in the retirement phase of life, time is flying by. Time is going by quick so let’s get to the getting. What are you waiting for? Tomorrow? None of us are guaranteed tomorrow and we all know in the back of our minds that anything could happen. The problem is many of us do not face reality. We all think things will continue on as they are and nothing will change, nothing bad will happen when we all really know that is not true. Should you live in fear? No! But while things are going okay, take advantage of it.
Many years ago, I (Mark) was a young kid of 9 years old and found myself being driven through the city of Seoul, Korea. I couldn’t believe I was there and was excited to find out more about a city and country that I had heard a lot about, but was now in the middle of. There were wall-to-wall people, taxicabs and city buses everywhere, and very heavy traffic on the city streets. Drivers honking their horns at each other (which in Korea is not considered rude), mothers carrying their babies on their backs amid the hustle and bustle of the big city. My parents had made the life-changing decision to go to this foreign country to become missionaries and to help various Korean communities start new churches.
Every year I, Nolan, take everything out of my garage and do a good spring cleaning. It is amazing how much junk builds up in the garage every winter. I donate unwanted items and generally anything I haven’t used in the last two years. I move the winter items back to the storage room in the basement and bring up the spring and summer items. I put together a list of items I’m running low or out of and run over to the local hardware store so I’m prepared for the year ahead. Getting started always seems like a daunting task, but when the job is done, what a rewarding feeling it is to look at my improvements. Financial spring cleaning should also be done once a year. Use these four tips to get started this year.
A 401(k) plan is one of the most common ways for an employee who works for a public company to save and invest for retirement. The 401(k) was created with the passage of the Tax Reform Act of 1978. Prior to the creation of 401(k)s, defined benefit plans, known as pensions, were a common source of retirement income for many Americans. In the past 40 years pension plans have been on the decline while 401(k) plans have continued to increase. This shift has left saving and preparing for retirement much more in the hands of the employee and less the responsibility of the employer. Over the years, additional rules and plan options were added that now offer greater control and flexibility to 401(k) account owners.
The other day my wife and I were driving to lunch. We were just cruising along enjoying the day. I was obeying all the laws, going the speed limit, keeping a safe distance in front of us, and was staying in my lane. Then all of the sudden my wife said “watch out.” She even for a second went to grab the wheel and nudged us out of harms way, as the car in the other lane about side swiped us. I never even saw the car coming into our lane because it was in my blind spot.
It’s hard for people to imagine the time when they will no longer be here on Earth. When we do think about it, we automatically assume that our will and estate plans will take care of everything. This, in fact, is not always the case. Instead, oftentimes, financial assets such as life insurance, retirement accounts and annuities have named beneficiaries and are typically paid outside of the estate.


